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Red64
450925.5
670527.6
682931.0
Blue34
363518.8
74517.7
418836.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786520401001206434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.6
24.823.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.5
End6.2
blue by 5.5
36.51.9
36.434.5
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Second
6705
#11
27.61.6
27.626.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.5
End9.7
red by 8.8
3635
#24
18.81.9
20.818.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End5.6
Third
25.51.6
18.917.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End3.5
red by 17.8
7451
#31
7.71.9
5.33.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned