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Red93
731511.5
873639.9
131118.4
Blue56
691937.2
88498.3
563221.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61572040801009356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#17
39.92.1
34.636.8
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End3.2
red by 2.7
37.20.1
31.932.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End8.1
Second
1311
#25
18.42.1
11.313.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.2
blue by 3.5
5632
#15
21.80.1
17.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Third
7315
#30
11.52.1
11.113.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 3.2
8849
#29
8.30.1
4.84.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed