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Red17
563214.8
58284.4
75385.1
Blue10
69256.3
30913.1
52934.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2711020304050601710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.7
9.68.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
red by 8.5
6925
#13
6.30.3
4.94.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Second
7538
#25
5.10.7
4.23.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.8
red by 1.1
5293
#17Sur
4.00.3
3.53.2
Auto1.3
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Third
5828
#23Sur
4.40.7
9.58.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
red by 1.3
3091
#18
3.10.3
4.34.0
Auto1.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed