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Red4
81004.7
41125.9
69054.8
Blue46
88153.8
691923.4
45097.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7370206080446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.90.4
0.3-0.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 17.5
23.41.6
19.721.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Second
6905
#19
4.80.7
4.63.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
blue by 2.2
7.01.6
6.27.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End-0.4
Third
8100
#10Sur
4.70.7
5.54.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.7
red by 0.9
8815
#14
3.81.6
5.47.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed