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Red21
69105.8
74704.2
141419.4
Blue46
418831.6
88495.0
88653.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132010204050602146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.0
13.412.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
blue by 12.2
31.61.5
19.320.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
Second
6910
#12
5.81.0
9.68.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
red by 0.8
8849
#20
5.01.5
2.84.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Third
7470
#21
4.21.0
7.46.4
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
red by 1.0
8865
#24
3.21.5
6.17.7
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed