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Red23
363517.8
52934.0
126121.9
Blue6
24156.1
58284.4
73156.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2925010204050236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.4
11.010.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
red by 15.4
7315
#15
6.52.0
8.96.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
17.80.4
12.412.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
red by 11.7
2415
#11
6.12.0
6.14.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Third
5293
#17
4.00.4
3.22.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.7
End1.9
blue by 0.4
5828
#23
4.42.0
8.86.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed