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Red23
69054.8
141419.4
33442.9
Blue16
58284.4
69105.8
69256.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513010203040502316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.1
17.417.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
red by 13.1
6925
#13
6.30.2
4.94.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Second
6905
#19
4.80.1
3.83.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
blue by 1.0
6910
#12
5.80.2
5.95.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Third
3344
#22
2.90.1
0.91.0
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 1.5
5828
#23
4.40.2
3.23.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed