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Red24
73156.5
563214.8
88153.8
Blue13
75385.1
88653.2
691923.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2831010204050602413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.2
12.812.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
blue by 8.6
23.41.1
19.918.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Second
7315
#15
6.50.2
7.67.4
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 1.4
7538
#25
5.11.2
5.03.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Third
8815
#14
3.80.2
6.15.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
red by 0.6
8865
#24
3.21.2
3.42.2
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed