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Red56
418831.6
33442.9
75385.1
Blue31
52934.0
73156.5
141419.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342810204050605631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.8
26.528.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
red by 12.2
19.40.3
17.517.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
Second
7538
#25
5.11.8
3.85.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.8
blue by 1.4
7315
#15
6.50.3
7.47.7
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
3344
#22
2.91.8
1.02.8
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 1.1
5293
#17
4.00.3
2.32.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed