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Red16
69105.8
470110.5
88153.8
Blue29
45097.0
88653.2
563214.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25220103040501629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.50.5
11.711.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 4.3
14.80.6
12.613.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
Second
6910
#12
5.80.5
5.85.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 1.3
7.00.6
6.16.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End-0.4
Third
8815
#14
3.80.5
5.95.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
red by 0.6
8865
#24
3.20.6
2.22.8
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed