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Red64
174614.9
682916.5
53327.2
Blue37
402612.0
80807.5
59008.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392901020506070806437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.6
15.516.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End5.5
red by 4.5
4026
#17
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Second
1746
#16
14.90.6
13.914.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
red by 6.2
5900
#24
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End3.8
Third
5332
#26
7.20.6
6.26.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
7.50.0
7.57.5
Auto0.5
Teleop0.9
End6.1