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Red0
634018.4
670519.5
88668.5
Blue55
297418.1
83213.1
71049.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51400206080100055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#3DQ
19.50.1
19.519.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End9.5
red by 1.5
18.10.2
17.717.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Second
6340
#4DQ
18.40.1
18.318.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End10.6
red by 5.3
832
#5
13.10.2
12.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End5.5
Third
8866
#22DQ
8.50.1
8.58.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 0.6
7104
#21
9.10.2
8.68.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End4.4