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Red14
51094.5
85772.5
35814.3
Blue37
670519.5
80807.5
297418.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2638010203050601437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#23
4.52.2
9.16.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 15.0
19.51.0
10.29.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End9.5
Second
3581
#27
4.32.2
10.78.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End-0.0
blue by 13.7
18.11.0
16.715.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Third
8577
#20
2.52.2
5.93.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.4
blue by 5.0
7.51.0
7.26.2
Auto0.5
Teleop0.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed