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Red40
41899.2
873620.8
33298.1
Blue26
56516.3
402612.0
13117.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020405060704026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.2
13.614.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 8.7
4026
#17
12.00.2
9.49.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Second
4189
#13
9.21.2
8.810.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End3.3
red by 1.4
1311
#14
7.80.2
9.89.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Third
3329
#29
8.11.2
7.18.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End3.0
red by 1.8
5651
#30
6.30.2
4.94.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed