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Red35
88668.5
174614.9
80807.5
Blue8
44596.2
10026.9
45168.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323101020405060358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#16
14.90.6
13.714.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
red by 6.9
8.02.9
9.76.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End4.0
Second
8866
#22
8.57.0
15.88.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.9
red by 1.6
1002
#32
6.92.9
10.57.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End4.7
Third
7.50.6
7.38.0
Auto0.5
Teleop0.9
End6.1
red by 1.3
4459
#25
6.22.9
9.97.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed