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Red23
670519.5
41121.9
63416.8
Blue24
85772.5
297418.1
13117.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323901020506070802324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.8
11.110.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End9.5
red by 1.5
18.11.3
15.013.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Second
6341
#11
6.80.8
8.67.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 1.0
1311
#14
7.81.3
12.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Third
4112
#28
1.90.8
11.010.1
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
blue by 0.6
8577
#20
2.54.6
2.26.8
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed