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Red109
177149.7
445143.7
51096.2
Blue72
297433.6
126134.5
670516.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098940608010012014016018010972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.2
49.549.8
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 15.2
34.50.3
35.034.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
Second
43.70.2
43.643.8
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 10.1
33.60.3
34.133.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
Third
5109
#30
6.20.2
6.16.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 10.1
6705
#23
16.30.3
16.716.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9