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Red101
177149.7
445143.7
51096.2
Blue79
297433.6
126134.5
670516.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108840608010012014016018010179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
49.849.7
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 15.2
34.50.1
34.734.5
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
Second
43.70.1
43.843.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 10.1
33.60.1
33.833.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
Third
5109
#30
6.20.1
6.36.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 10.1
6705
#23
16.30.1
16.416.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9