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Red51
297433.6
126134.5
10022.1
Blue61
873623.9
670516.3
445143.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721220501001502002503003505161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.5
32.931.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
blue by 9.2
43.73.1
40.737.6
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
Second
33.61.5
35.333.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
red by 9.7
8736
#16
23.93.1
39.936.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Third
1002
#31
2.11.5
5.64.1
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
blue by 14.2
6705
#23
16.33.1
27.624.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned