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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40800501001502002550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.2
11.610.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
blue by 13.3
29.51.3
30.829.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End10.2
Second
1311
#15
9.01.2
18.417.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 11.0
6340
#18
20.01.3
28.026.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End10.0
Third
5109
#30
6.21.2
12.311.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 1.1
8849
#20
7.41.3
11.29.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned