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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835501001502004239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.22.2
32.130.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.0
End4.3
red by 0.3
28.91.1
30.028.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.6
Second
1746
#13
22.62.2
27.625.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
red by 9.3
3635
#12
13.31.1
18.817.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
Third
3344
#25
8.82.2
14.612.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
red by 2.9
5293
#26
5.81.1
6.35.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsMissed