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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions732404060801001201401604025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.5
31.029.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
red by 6.3
832
#19
19.40.9
22.021.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End9.0
Second
1648
#17
16.21.5
15.213.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End7.1
red by 12.5
4112
#28
3.70.9
5.95.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
Third
6341
#29
6.01.5
15.814.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.2
End1.0
red by 2.6
9999
#27
3.51.6
11.09.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed