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Red74
177149.7
886611.5
88653.7
Blue41
590015.9
168319.4
450928.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747350607080907441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.3
46.747.1
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 21.6
4509
#11
28.11.9
25.523.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.6
Second
8866
#24
11.50.3
15.816.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 7.9
1683
#21
19.41.9
25.523.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End4.1
Third
8865
#14
3.70.3
6.66.9
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7
blue by 12.2
5900
#22
15.91.9
17.916.0
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed