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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58902040801001201401604511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#16
23.90.2
33.032.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
red by 12.4
8866
#24
11.50.7
12.311.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Second
8849
#20
7.40.2
9.99.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
red by 3.9
9999
#27
3.51.2
6.85.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Third
5293
#26
5.80.2
5.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
red by 3.7
1002
#31
2.10.7
3.02.2
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed