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Red77
297433.6
418829.2
682925.7
Blue68
51096.2
177149.7
83219.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100770501502007768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.2
32.030.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
blue by 16.1
49.70.4
45.144.7
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
Second
29.21.2
29.428.2
Auto10.8
Teleop14.0
End4.3
red by 9.8
832
#19
19.40.4
18.618.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End9.0
Third
25.71.2
29.228.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
red by 19.5
5109
#30
6.20.4
10.39.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsMissed