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Red64
88497.4
168319.4
297433.6
Blue70
164816.2
110229.5
141428.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62760501001506470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
30.931.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
red by 4.2
29.50.1
28.628.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End10.2
Second
1683
#21
19.40.3
19.219.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 9.5
28.90.1
29.829.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.6
Third
8849
#20
7.40.3
9.79.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
blue by 8.8
1648
#17
16.20.1
10.610.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned