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Red115
450928.1
691927.6
445143.7
Blue24
174622.6
99993.5
670516.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10541015020011524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.7
36.538.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 21.1
1746
#13
22.62.0
23.821.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Second
4509
#11
28.11.7
23.525.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.6
red by 11.8
6705
#23
16.32.0
22.520.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9
Third
6919
#10
27.61.7
29.831.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End6.4
red by 24.1
9999
#27
3.53.3
7.13.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed