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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096501001502009224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.2
44.744.9
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 33.5
16.10.1
13.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Second
25.70.2
27.527.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
red by 22.0
4112
#28
3.70.1
2.22.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
Third
3635
#12
13.30.2
17.117.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
red by 11.2
1002
#31
2.10.1
1.81.7
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed