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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1310005015020013114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#15
9.00.7
13.112.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 40.7
49.72.1
44.947.0
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
Second
6341
#29
6.00.7
8.07.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 22.1
4509
#11
28.12.1
25.227.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.6
Third
1002
#31
2.10.7
1.71.0
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
blue by 6.7
3344
#25
8.82.1
12.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned