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Red27
41123.7
363513.3
873623.9
Blue48
691927.6
174622.6
88497.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50700204060801001201401602748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#16
23.91.7
29.427.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 3.7
6919
#10
27.61.0
31.530.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End6.4
Second
3635
#12
13.31.7
17.215.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
blue by 9.3
1746
#13
22.61.0
21.820.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Third
4112
#28
3.71.7
2.10.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
blue by 3.6
8849
#20
7.41.0
9.98.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed68%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed