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Red49
168319.4
670516.3
886611.5
Blue94
402616.1
52935.8
445143.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526102040801001204994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#21
19.40.0
19.319.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 24.4
43.72.5
39.742.3
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
Second
6705
#23
16.30.0
19.219.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9
red by 0.1
16.12.5
13.716.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Third
8866
#24
11.50.0
10.610.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End2.5
red by 5.7
5293
#26
5.82.5
2.65.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned