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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93330501508447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
47.047.0
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 20.2
29.50.6
29.930.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End10.2
Second
34.50.1
31.431.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
red by 28.3
5109
#30
6.20.6
7.17.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Third
9999
#27
3.50.1
6.46.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
red by 1.4
1002
#31
2.10.6
1.01.6
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsMissed