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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6470204080100120474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#19
19.40.6
19.218.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End9.0
red by 13.2
5109
#30
6.20.6
6.86.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Second
6705
#23
16.30.6
18.117.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9
red by 12.6
4112
#28
3.70.6
2.82.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
Third
3635
#12
13.30.6
15.114.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
red by 9.6
8865
#14
3.70.6
3.83.2
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed