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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118650100150200924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.3
47.347.1
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 40.9
3344
#25
8.81.4
11.29.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Second
8736
#16
23.90.3
26.025.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
red by 17.9
6341
#29
6.01.4
7.56.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
1746
#13
22.60.3
22.722.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
red by 19.1
9999
#27
3.52.0
6.14.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed