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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106290501502008534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.3
42.241.9
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 27.9
5900
#22
15.90.2
16.716.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Second
29.20.3
29.329.0
Auto10.8
Teleop14.0
End4.3
red by 20.2
1311
#15
9.00.2
11.711.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Third
1683
#21
19.40.3
18.318.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End4.1
red by 12.0
8849
#20
7.40.2
9.18.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned