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Red50
141428.9
873623.9
33448.8
Blue73
110229.5
682925.7
402616.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678102040601001201405073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.0
29.428.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.6
blue by 0.6
29.50.1
30.930.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End10.2
Second
8736
#16
23.91.0
25.724.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 1.8
25.70.1
27.327.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
Third
3344
#25
8.81.0
9.88.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
blue by 7.4
16.10.1
16.116.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned