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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271040501504085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#10
27.60.5
29.028.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End6.4
blue by 22.1
49.70.2
47.146.9
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
Second
5109
#30
6.20.5
6.25.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 27.4
33.60.2
34.634.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
Third
9999
#27
3.50.6
4.13.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End0.5
blue by 2.4
5293
#26
5.80.2
6.05.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed