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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476301001502006954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
41.943.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 14.6
29.20.1
29.028.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Second
8865
#14
3.71.3
3.24.5
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7
blue by 16.3
6340
#18
20.00.1
20.920.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End10.0
Third
1002
#31
2.11.3
0.82.1
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
blue by 3.9
6341
#29
6.00.1
6.26.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsMissed