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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80590501001507350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.0
37.637.6
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 10.1
33.60.5
33.833.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
Second
3635
#12
13.30.0
17.717.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
red by 4.5
3344
#25
8.80.5
12.411.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Third
1311
#15
9.00.0
17.217.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 2.7
5109
#30
6.20.5
11.110.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed