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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80220501001507729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
47.147.2
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 33.8
5900
#22
15.90.1
16.016.1
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End7.5
Second
16.10.1
10.510.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
red by 10.3
5293
#26
5.80.1
5.25.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Third
8849
#20
7.40.1
9.89.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3
red by 3.7
8865
#14
3.70.1
6.97.0
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned