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Red100
177149.7
445143.7
51096.2
Blue46
141428.9
682925.7
88497.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146105010015020010046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
49.849.7
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 20.8
28.90.5
29.629.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.6
Second
43.70.1
43.843.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 18.0
25.70.5
26.526.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
Third
5109
#30
6.20.1
6.36.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 1.1
8849
#20
7.40.5
8.17.6
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3