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Red118
177149.7
445143.7
51096.2
Blue49
873623.9
88653.7
634020.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1164105010015020011849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.4
49.349.8
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 25.8
8736
#16
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Second
43.70.4
43.443.8
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 23.7
6340
#18
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End10.0
Third
5109
#30
6.20.4
5.96.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
red by 2.6
8865
#14
3.70.0
3.63.7
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7