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Red105
177149.7
445143.7
51096.2
Blue51
141428.9
682925.7
88497.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145905010015020010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
49.749.5
Auto15.2
Teleop30.4
End4.2
red by 20.8
28.90.3
29.128.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.6
Second
43.70.1
43.743.6
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
red by 18.0
25.70.3
26.025.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
Third
5109
#30
6.20.1
6.26.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 1.1
8849
#20
7.40.3
7.67.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End4.3