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Red86
186821.3
36448.6
859017.9
Blue120
260133.9
641319.2
175645.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410005015020025086120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#21
48.60.2
49.249.0
Auto14.2
Teleop23.2
End11.2
red by 3.6
1756
#26
45.11.2
44.145.3
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
Second
1868
#40
21.30.2
21.521.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
blue by 12.5
2601
#16
33.91.2
31.232.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End11.4
Third
8590
#35
17.90.2
18.117.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 1.3
6413
#67
19.21.2
18.019.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned