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Red93
162929.8
397030.3
191836.7
Blue100
102344.6
325627.5
181625.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810405015020093100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#53
36.70.8
38.237.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End12.8
blue by 7.9
1023
#41
44.60.1
44.744.8
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
Second
3970
#54
30.30.8
32.031.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 2.8
3256
#47
27.50.1
27.327.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
1629
#34
29.80.8
30.629.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
red by 3.9
1816
#22
25.90.1
25.825.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsMissed