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Red80
570510.5
511442.3
590322.0
Blue127
441543.8
69449.7
393740.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6516105010020025080127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#44
42.30.4
41.842.3
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
blue by 7.4
694
#3
49.71.1
51.850.7
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
Second
5903
#30
22.00.4
21.622.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End8.5
blue by 21.8
4415
#14
43.81.1
45.944.8
Auto12.6
Teleop19.9
End11.4
Third
5705
#56
10.50.4
10.110.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 29.6
40.21.1
41.640.5
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned