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Red54
317537.0
59915.3
561215.7
Blue100
85728.6
508631.5
31643.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311805010015020054100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#32
37.01.6
39.738.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.0
blue by 6.1
316
#31
43.10.3
44.343.9
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
Second
5612
#46
15.71.6
17.315.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
blue by 15.8
5086
#36
31.50.3
31.931.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End9.6
Third
599
#52
15.31.6
16.915.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End5.2
blue by 13.3
857
#43
28.60.3
29.028.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned