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Red128
147735.4
85728.6
36448.6
Blue95
259043.7
263829.2
325627.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208905010015020012895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#21
48.61.3
50.151.4
Auto14.2
Teleop23.2
End11.2
red by 4.9
2590
#11
43.70.5
42.342.8
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
Second
1477
#18
35.41.3
32.333.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End8.2
red by 6.2
2638
#57
29.20.5
22.723.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End10.0
Third
857
#43
28.61.3
26.427.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
red by 1.1
3256
#47
27.50.5
22.623.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned