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Red56
350418.2
102344.6
641319.2
Blue131
508924.0
25467.3
317537.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721445010020056131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#41
44.61.9
44.342.4
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
blue by 22.7
254
#4
67.30.3
66.967.3
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End15.3
Second
6413
#67
19.21.9
14.012.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End3.5
blue by 17.8
3175
#32
37.00.3
37.337.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Third
3504
#55
18.21.9
18.416.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 5.8
5089
#49
24.00.3
21.622.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsMissed97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed99%Hangar oddsEarned