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Red32
174516.6
175645.1
81539.4
Blue138
8843.3
161953.3
812218.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912105010015020032138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#26
45.13.2
47.644.5
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
blue by 8.3
53.32.0
50.352.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
Second
1745
#74
16.63.2
17.113.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
blue by 26.7
88
#27
43.32.0
38.440.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End9.7
Third
8153
#72
9.44.6
14.710.1
Auto4.8
Teleop0.8
End3.9
blue by 9.0
8122
#59
18.42.0
19.221.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsEarned